PRC grain harvest 2018/19 should grow 4%

Survey of the Department of Rural Economy (Deral) of the State Department of Agriculture and Paraná Supply estimated a total grain production in the state in the 2018/19 harvest of 23.3 million tons, volume 4% above that registered in the previous season, which reached 22.5 million tons.

The rains that occurred in the last weeks were the main factor of influence in the harvest of Paraná this month. Even with the excess moisture for the time, the soybean crops maintain a good development. So far, about two-thirds of the soybeans are already planted, with production estimates 3% higher than in the previous crop. Corn planting is also in the final stretch, with production of 3.2 million tonnes.

The wheat crop of the 2017/18 crop has grown to 77% of the area, benefiting from the reappearance of the sun last weekend. However, the rains of the last month have hurt the progress of the harvest, although the numbers are practically normal. The production estimate continues at 2.9 million tonnes this month, however below the initial expectation due to the dry period of the first half.

Prices have declined in the last two months, and are currently priced at around R $ 42 a bag of 60kg, 30% higher than last year. Despite this, the change in the quality of the product should generate discounts, damaging the profitability of the producer, according to the agronomic engineer of Deral, Carlos Hugo Godinho.

Soy

Even with a slight delay in planting due to excessive rains, the soybean crops remain in good condition in this harvest. So far, about 60% of the area has already been sown, close to the average of the last harvest, which is 64%. The El Niño phenomenon, predicted for 2018, contributes to a good production expectation. “The crop failures are more common in periods of drought,” said Deral chief Marcelo Garrido.

The area of ​​soybeans in the 2018/19 harvest is estimated at 5.45 million hectares, without major variations compared to last year. The production estimate is 19.6 million tons, 3% higher than in the previous harvest, which represents a recovery in productivity. The 60 kg bag is being sold at R $ 77.00, a price 28% higher than that registered in October 2017.

Corn

Deral maintains an estimated 3.2 million tonnes for the first 2018/19 corn crop. The area sown in this cycle is 352 thousand hectares. About 90% of the area is planted, with approximately 30,000 hectares remaining, which should be planted in the coming weeks.

Prices recorded in the domestic market are R $ 28.00 per bag of 60 kg – a 40% increase when compared to the same period last year. This increase is mainly supported by exchange variation and the situation of lower supply in the domestic market. In the external market, prices rose by only 6%. “Marketing is slower than expected,” says Dermar coach Edmar Gervasio.

Bean

The bean crop of the first 2018/19 crop has 79% of its area planted in Paraná. October rains have hampered the implantation of the crops in practically all the regions of the State and according to the agricultural engineer of the Deral, Carlos Alberto Salvador, the unstable weather of the last weeks has generated unease in the producers.

Although excess moisture has led to an increase in diseases and pests at isolated sites, 86% of the crops are in good condition, 13% under average conditions and only 1% under poor conditions. The production estimate for the 18/19 harvest is 329 thousand tons in a sown area of ​​167 thousand hectares.

The prices of the bean of color received by the producers of Paraná in October revolve in around of R $ 95,00 the bag of 60kg. Black bean, which in Paraná corresponds to about 60% of the area, is traded around R $ 127.00 for the 60 kg bag.

Manioc

About 84% of cassava produced in the 2017/18 harvest is harvested, although the unstable climate has made this practice difficult. The commercialization follows the good indexes of the last three harvests.

This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.