The total numbers of Gaucho exports in the agribusiness for the month of October registered an improvement in comparison with September, but are lower than the same period of last year, according to Farsul analysis. Nevertheless, there is a positive reaction from the foreign market. The State exported US $ 961 million in October, a figure that represents growth of 7.81% in relation to September and drop of 8.1% when compared to the same period of 2017.
Regarding the indices relative to the accumulated index of the year, the sector adds an export of US $ 10.064 billion – representing 4.7% more than the first 10 months of 2017. For Farsul International Relations analyst Renan Hein dos Santos , “Overall, the year is good. By the middle of 2018, the scenario was very promising, but with the truckers strike, the problem in the freight table and the embargoes of important markets, the accumulated positive has greatly diminished. The indexes are satisfactory, but could be much better, “he interprets.
The highlight of the data is the cereals group – composed of rice, corn and wheat -, which improved by 81.73% compared to September and 168.79% when compared to October of the previous year. The value negotiated was US $ 57 million, almost everything related to rice. “The numbers are very good. The expressive value came from the PEP and PEPRO auctions, which were carried out during the harvest period and helped to stimulate exports and to discourage inventories, which are positive factors for producers and which influence prices. With this, the conjuncture for the end of this year and next year is positive, remembering that everything depends on the harvest “, explains Santos
Apart from cereals, there were declines in the comparisons with October 2017 in the main groups representing the sector – soy, meat, tobacco and live animals. However, of these, only the meats are being less exported if seen the accumulated of the two years. “With beef, we work at the ceiling of the export ceiling, because of the 350 state refrigerators, only four are qualified to export. The red meat that leaves the territory of Rio Grande do Sul corresponds to only 13% of the total production – which is a pity, especially given the quality of the product. Nevertheless, seen in isolation, they are good indexes. On the other hand, the markets for poultry and pork were impacted by embargoes from the European Union and Russia respectively, “analyzes Santos.
The fall of 24.22% in the tobacco business between the two outbreaks may be elucidated by import problems from Italy and China, but, according to Santos, only a detailed analysis will be possible in the next surveys, in which reactions may also appear in the numbers of white meat because of the end of the Russian embargo. “The year tends to end with positive accumulations, but in the case of the market, given the great volatility of our economy, we can not afford the luxury of digging numbers,” he concludes.
China remains the major trading partner of the gaucho agribusiness, which is the destination of 46.8% of the exported value – US $ 4.7 billion. In second place are the United States, with US $ 362 million and 3.6% of the market share. In third place is Belgium, with US $ 293 million and a 2.9% stake.
This text was translated by machine from Brazilian Portuguese.